DRAFT October 26, 1998
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Making Monitoring Work for Managers |
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Below are the major headings for the various sections of this report. Each major heading is a hyperlink to a separate document, which in turn may contain links to other documents. This format allows us to provide supplemental material without disrupting the flow of the report. |
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I. Introduction |
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II. The ConventionalApproach |
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General assumptions underlying monitoring |
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A. Four types ofmonitoring |
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Baseline, implementation, effectiveness, and validation |
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B. The stressor-responsemodel |
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Stressors are agents of change that produce a response |
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C. Sample-based versusmodel-based inference |
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The difference between random sampling and sentinel sites |
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D. Measuring trends |
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Tracking and measuring changes through time |
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E. Summary |
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Summary points |
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III. Complications |
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Major issues that seemingly thwart good designs |
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A. Baseline monitoring |
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Problems with establishing reference conditions |
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B. Implementation monitoring |
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Should not be a problem if directions are clear |
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C. Effectiveness monitoring |
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Why measuring an effect may mean noting at all |
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D. Validation monitoring |
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Same problems as with effectiveness monitoring |
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E. Further considerations |
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How does one pay for it all |
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F. Summary |
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IV. A Decision-basedApproach |
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Monitoring can be explicitly linked to decisions using formal methods |
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A. Statistical evidence |
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How to interpret data |
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B. Influence diagrams |
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A tool for analyzing decisions |
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Figure 4.1 |
Example influence diagram |
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Figure 4.2 |
Possible fuel treatments |
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Table 4.1 |
Conditional probabilities for example diagram |
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C. Benefits of the influence diagram |
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Six reasons for going through the effort |
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V. Integrating the Conventional and Decision-Analytic Approaches |
How conventional methods fit into the decision-analytic framework, and vice versa |
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Flow diagram of general planning, analysis, and implementation |
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How the 4 types of monitoring fit. |
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VI. Implications for theICBEMP and NWFP |
So what does it all mean |
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VII. Literature Cited |
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VIII. Discussion Questions |
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Questions and answers about the report |
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Title Page